Polymarket market · Other

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

Resolved: Natus Vincere won · See it on Polymarket ↗

4 whales traded $77K on this market since Nov 1, 80% of their buying on Natus Vincere. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 2.0¢ more per share, with 98% of the size there to buy. Natus Vincere won, with 80% of the whale buying on it. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$22K and 2 lost −$12K: +$10K between them. Biggest win: Qualified-Expedition-Chaplain, +$21K on Natus Vincere. Biggest loss: Innocent-Grape, −$9.7K on Team Falcons.

The whales on this market

4 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Qualified-Expedition-Chaplain
7 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 71¢ $51K — +$21K
Stiff-Desktop
59 settled bets Beat the odds*
Natus Vincere @ 71¢ $14K — +$1.2K
Innocent-Grape
164 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 30¢ $9.7K — −$9.7K
Grateful-Forte
17 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 30¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. Natus Vincere won
    $62K
    80% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. Team Falcons lost
    $12K
    16% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  3. Natus Vincere lost
    $3.3K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 1 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793775663).

More other markets the whales bet on

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About this data · run 1793775663, computed 2026-11-04 07:01 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793775663 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed