Polymarket market · Other

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales traded $94K on this market since Aug 26, 95% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 71% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

In the live feed

Polymarket whale bets
SELL $22K
sold No @ 98¢ → now 97¢
Powerful-Election · 20 settled bets · +$6.1K Can't tell from luck

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Powerful-Election
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 97¢ $9.7K $22K
Harsh-Macro
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $27K —
Few-Poppy
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $11K —
0x744a…923b
no settled record
No @ 96¢ $4.7K $2.9K
Gruesome-Uplift
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 96¢ $6.0K —
Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 97¢ $3.9K —
0x723a…c3b0
no settled record
No @ 98¢ $2.0K —
Putrid-Metabolite
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K
0x121e…7751
no settled record
Yes @ 5¢ $1.5K —
Gullible-Grassland
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $63K
    95% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $28K sold
  2. No
    $1.9K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Yes
    $1.5K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26 to Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793170821).

About this data · run 1793170821, computed 2026-10-28 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793170821 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed