Polymarket market · Other

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

22 whales put $137K into this market since Aug 20, 93% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

22 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Impassioned-Watch
11 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $21K —
0x92ff…94ce
no settled record
No @ 94¢ $6.3K $12K
Powerful-Election
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 95¢ $16K —
0x2e0b…8070
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 87¢ $16K —
Quizzical-Discussion
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $10K —
Coordinated-Leather
14 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $4.7K $4.4K
0x599b…b542
no settled record
No @ 91¢ $8.1K —
Bad-Fool-Enrollment
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.4K
Meek-Shore-Armchair
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $5.3K —
Mushy-Asymmetry
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 90¢ $4.4K —
Common-Nitrogen
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 16¢ $2.9K —
Steep-Visa
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 93¢ $2.8K —
Few-Poppy
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $2.6K —
0xcdbc…f38b
no settled record
Yes @ 3¢ $2.5K —
Forsaken-Outhouse
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 92¢ $2.3K —
Dreary-Arena
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $1.9K —
Gracious-Fame
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K
0xd1e1…69a6
no settled record
Yes @ 3¢ $1.5K —
Expensive-Cloudburst-Sundae
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 7¢ $1.5K —
Precious-Stockintrade
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 88¢ $1.1K —
0x392a…262d
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.0K
0x07e1…27af
no settled record
No @ 98¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $104K
    93% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $23K sold
  2. Yes
    $8.4K
    8% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed