Polymarket market · Other

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales traded $52K on this market since Oct 30, 100% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ more per share, with 77% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Shiny-Camera
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.9¢ $14K —
Sardonic-Lentil
60 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $8.4K
Dental-Liquid
52 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 99¢ $4.6K $1.7K
Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
91 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.7¢ $6.2K —
Whirlwind-Maggot
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.5¢ $6.0K —
All-Peasant-Drug
1,271 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 99.9¢ $2.2K $2.2K
Tiny-Equality
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 95¢ $2.1K —
Crowded-Distance
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 95¢ $1.9K —
Downright-Website
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.6¢ $1.7K —
Zesty-Disappointment
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $39K
    100% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $14K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793689244).

About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed