Polymarket market · Other
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
16 whales traded $58K on this market since Sep 19, 68% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 3.3¢ more per share, with 95% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
16 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fearful-Congress
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 58¢ | $7.8K | $8.0K |
| 0x6000…f302
no settled record |
No @ 59¢ | $7.9K | — |
| Personal-Bake
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 54¢ | $6.0K | — |
| 0xb3d6…dd72
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $4.4K |
| 0x64c3…d720
no settled record |
No @ 68¢ | $3.7K | — |
| Similar-Format
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.1K |
| 0xd640…480c
no settled record |
Yes @ 43¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K |
| Silky-Geometry
223 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 43¢ | $2.6K | — |
| Grounded-Depression
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 50¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Weird-Freedom
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K |
| 0x7678…22a3
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K |
| Peppery-Capital
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 44¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Shabby-Crate
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 37¢ | $1.3K | — |
| 0x45f8…c554
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K |
| Accurate-Spirit
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 63¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0xefde…783d
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$24K68% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $20K sold
-
Yes$9.3K27% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $3.1K sold
-
Yes$1.8K5% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 19 to Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792134019).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $382K | 66 | Open | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $210K | 38 | Open | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | $484K | 52 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B | $183K | 34 | Won: FURIA | |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | $118K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $81K | 29 | Open | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | $211K | 29 | Open | |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | $109K | 15 | Won: Yes |