Polymarket market · Other

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales traded $55K on this market since Sep 23, 77% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Hateful-Chord
234 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 66¢ $11K —
0x4488…e319
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 74¢ $3.6K $5.5K
Probable-Semicircle
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 64¢ $5.8K —
0x3fec…2b67
no settled record
Yes @ 41¢ $5.0K —
Fake-Polyester
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 27¢ $2.9K $1.9K
Hearty-Molar
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 66¢ $3.0K —
Fake-Bitter
1,746 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 63¢ $2.5K —
0x34c2…b53b
no settled record
No @ 64¢ $2.4K —
Married-Uniformity
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K
Solid-Porcelain
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 39¢ $2.3K —
Advanced-Mailer
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 66¢ $2.2K —
White-Helium-Call
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 62¢ $1.5K —
Rare-Azimuth
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 62¢ $1.5K —
Giving-Tick-Innervation
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 62¢ $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $35K
    77% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $7.8K sold
  2. Yes
    $10K
    23% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.9K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 23 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793689244).

About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed