Polymarket market · Other

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

6 whales traded $58K on this market since Oct 29, 100% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

6 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Dental-Liquid
53 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 98¢ $25K —
Zesty-Disappointment
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99¢ $18K —
Sardonic-Lentil
59 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 98¢ $10K —
Weird-Freedom
11 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 97¢ $2.9K —
Bleak-Full
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 91¢ $1.3K —
Smooth-Evolution
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 95¢ $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $58K
    100% of whale buying · 6 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 29 to Nov 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793602824).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? $59K 15 Open
Will GameStop acquire eBay? $63K 12 Open
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? $107K 20 Open
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5 $55K 4 Won: Under
Xi Jinping out before 2027? $557K 71 Open
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? $206K 27 Won: Yes
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? $547K 45 Won: Yes
Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5 $115K 4 Won: Under
About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed