Top Polymarket traders
The Victors
The Polymarket whales who made the most since Aug 20, ranked by profit marked against how each market actually resolved (bets of $1,000+). Winning isn't the same as skill: of 1,343 whales with enough bets to test, 3.2% beat the odds, and luck alone would give 2.5%.
Updated , from weekly run 1791223421
Before you copy anyone on this list: we picked the top 20% from the earlier weeks and copied
their next trades, entries and exits, at the prices a follower could actually get. The whales made
−4.5%; the copier made
−7.0%
(2,053 positions, out of sample). How we tested it →
| # | Wallet | Profit | Skill or luck? | Won | Bets | Return | Profit by 2 weeks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
0x6d20…a165 · sports
+$3.26M
60 bets · won 55%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$3.26M | Can't tell from luck |
55.0% 43%–67%
|
60 | +25.4% | |
| 2 |
0x0f6f…d977 · sports
+$1.25M
21 bets · won 52%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$1.25M | Can't tell from luck |
52.4% 32%–72%
|
21 | +28.5% | |
| 3 |
0xcd30…f316 · esports
+$499K
93 bets · won 52%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$499K | Can't tell from luck |
51.6% 42%–62%
|
93 | +20.3% | |
| 4 |
0x3dfb…abaf · sports
+$497K
311 bets · won 44%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$497K | Can't tell from luck |
43.7% 38%–49%
|
311 | +12.7% | |
| 5 |
0xb727…2a9d · other
+$492K
64 bets · won 48%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$492K | Can't tell from luck |
48.4% 37%–60%
|
64 | +39.9% | |
| 6 |
0x5e94…5ba1 · sports
+$271K
93 bets · won 48%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$271K | Can't tell from luck |
48.4% 39%–58%
|
93 | +10.9% | |
| 7 |
0xd570…e4f8 · esports
+$241K
31 bets · won 65%
Beat the odds*
|
+$241K | Beat the odds* |
64.5% 47%–79%
|
31 | +39.8% | |
| 8 |
0x3970…44ce · sports
+$211K
20 bets · won 60%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$211K | Can't tell from luck |
60.0% 39%–78%
|
20 | +40.5% | |
| 9 |
0x8a86…4998 · sports
+$210K
156 bets · won 44%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$210K | Can't tell from luck |
44.2% 37%–52%
|
156 | +6.2% | |
| 10 |
0x1610…ae49 · sports
+$196K
405 bets · won 42%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$196K | Can't tell from luck |
41.7% 37%–47%
|
405 | +4.4% | |
| 11 |
0x9f2f…2ca8 · other
+$196K
23 bets · won 65%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$196K | Can't tell from luck |
65.2% 45%–81%
|
23 | +60.4% | |
| 12 |
0x1d1a…0df6 · sports
+$185K
41 bets · won 63%
Beat the odds*
|
+$185K | Beat the odds* |
63.4% 48%–76%
|
41 | +35.6% | |
| 13 |
0x9243…658e · sports
+$171K
52 bets · won 48%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$171K | Can't tell from luck |
48.1% 35%–61%
|
52 | +11.7% | |
| 14 |
other
+$165K
44 bets · won 80%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$165K | Can't tell from luck |
79.5% 66%–89%
|
44 | +11.3% | |
| 15 |
0x1f3a…895d · sports
+$159K
89 bets · won 56%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$159K | Can't tell from luck |
56.2% 46%–66%
|
89 | +13.7% | |
| 16 |
0xc2e7…be51 · sports
+$144K
22 bets · won 77%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$144K | Can't tell from luck |
77.3% 57%–90%
|
22 | +14.4% | |
| 17 |
0xf68a…5b1b · other
+$141K
258 bets · won 62%
Beat the odds*
|
+$141K | Beat the odds* |
61.6% 56%–67%
|
258 | +10.3% | |
| 18 |
0x9f15…bdb3 · esports
+$136K
33 bets · won 61%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$136K | Can't tell from luck |
60.6% 44%–75%
|
33 | +35.3% | |
| 19 |
sports
+$134K
133 bets · won 55%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$134K | Can't tell from luck |
54.9% 46%–63%
|
133 | +9.5% | |
| 20 |
0xc9a2…77d3 · esports
+$131K
20 bets · won 60%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$131K | Can't tell from luck |
60.0% 39%–78%
|
20 | +39.7% | |
| 21 |
0x73e3…1be9 · other
+$129K
31 bets · won 74%
Beat the odds*
|
+$129K | Beat the odds* |
74.2% 57%–86%
|
31 | +47.9% | |
| 22 |
0xb52e…285c · other
+$123K
48 bets · won 63%
Beat the odds*
|
+$123K | Beat the odds* |
62.5% 48%–75%
|
48 | +33.8% | |
| 23 |
0x27f7…44b0 · sports
+$107K
157 bets · won 61%
Beat the odds*
|
+$107K | Beat the odds* |
61.1% 53%–68%
|
157 | +13.1% | |
| 24 |
0xf559…f462 · sports
+$103K
60 bets · won 53%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$103K | Can't tell from luck |
53.3% 41%–65%
|
60 | +10.7% | |
| 25 |
0x1d2e…896d · other
+$97K
26 bets · won 62%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$97K | Can't tell from luck |
61.5% 43%–78%
|
26 | +41.3% | |
| 26 |
0xcd65…ee96 · other
+$94K
98 bets · won 43%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$94K | Can't tell from luck |
42.9% 34%–53%
|
98 | +10.1% | |
| 27 |
0x2dc1…b33c · sports
+$93K
29 bets · won 59%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$93K | Can't tell from luck |
58.6% 41%–75%
|
29 | +9.4% | |
| 28 |
0xc0e4…dd38 · sports
+$92K
167 bets · won 59%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$92K | Can't tell from luck |
58.7% 51%–66%
|
167 | +14.9% | |
| 29 |
0xdf80…3259 · other
+$92K
87 bets · won 85%
Beat the odds*
|
+$92K | Beat the odds* |
85.1% 76%–91%
|
87 | +20.3% | |
| 30 |
0xc323…0077 · sports
+$92K
74 bets · won 50%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$92K | Can't tell from luck |
50.0% 39%–61%
|
74 | +13.3% | |
| 31 |
other
+$91K
36 bets · won 44%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$91K | Can't tell from luck |
44.4% 30%–60%
|
36 | +28.2% | |
| 32 |
0x076d…8d4c · esports
+$90K
951 bets · won 56%
Beat the odds*
|
+$90K | Beat the odds* |
56.4% 53%–60%
|
951 | +1.9% | |
| 33 |
0x04b1…d224 · esports
+$88K
129 bets · won 63%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$88K | Can't tell from luck |
62.8% 54%–71%
|
129 | +8.0% | |
| 34 |
0xc430…1ebf · sports
+$85K
23 bets · won 52%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$85K | Can't tell from luck |
52.2% 33%–71%
|
23 | +39.3% | |
| 35 |
0x224a…a3d5 · sports
+$84K
432 bets · won 54%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$84K | Can't tell from luck |
53.7% 49%–58%
|
432 | +2.9% | |
| 36 |
0x04d5…66d8 · sports
+$84K
24 bets · won 50%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$84K | Can't tell from luck |
50.0% 31%–69%
|
24 | +13.1% | |
| 37 |
0xf5f9…87b0 · sports
+$82K
41 bets · won 51%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$82K | Can't tell from luck |
51.2% 37%–66%
|
41 | +18.8% | |
| 38 |
0xe2d0…7bbf · other
+$81K
61 bets · won 33%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$81K | Can't tell from luck |
32.8% 22%–45%
|
61 | +43.7% | |
| 39 |
0x16b2…aa5a · other
+$76K
70 bets · won 69%
Beat the odds*
|
+$76K | Beat the odds* |
68.6% 57%–78%
|
70 | +60.6% | |
| 40 |
esports
+$76K
78 bets · won 67%
Beat the odds*
|
+$76K | Beat the odds* |
66.7% 56%–76%
|
78 | +17.9% | |
| 41 |
0x3308…f04b · esports
+$75K
159 bets · won 57%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$75K | Can't tell from luck |
56.6% 49%–64%
|
159 | +11.9% | |
| 42 |
0xfc08…a137 · sports
+$73K
46 bets · won 65%
Beat the odds*
|
+$73K | Beat the odds* |
65.2% 51%–77%
|
46 | +52.7% | |
| 43 |
0x6e2c…787c · other
+$73K
218 bets · won 58%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$73K | Can't tell from luck |
57.8% 51%–64%
|
218 | +6.5% | |
| 44 |
0xe760…f2f9 · esports
+$72K
25 bets · won 52%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$72K | Can't tell from luck |
52.0% 34%–70%
|
25 | +46.5% | |
| 45 |
0x0a53…077b · other
+$72K
23 bets · won 52%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$72K | Can't tell from luck |
52.2% 33%–71%
|
23 | +26.1% | |
| 46 |
0x2a21…9853 · esports
+$71K
21 bets · won 52%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$71K | Can't tell from luck |
52.4% 32%–72%
|
21 | +38.0% | |
| 47 |
0x4956…e2c7 · other
+$70K
40 bets · won 55%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$70K | Can't tell from luck |
55.0% 40%–69%
|
40 | +27.4% | |
| 48 |
0x08c2…c023 · esports
+$67K
78 bets · won 65%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$67K | Can't tell from luck |
65.4% 54%–75%
|
78 | +21.7% | |
| 49 |
0xdc83…08f4 · esports
+$62K
82 bets · won 51%
Can't tell from luck
|
+$62K | Can't tell from luck |
51.2% 41%–62%
|
82 | +47.8% | |
| 50 |
0xbca0…9705 · other
+$59K
384 bets · won 63%
Beat the odds*
|
+$59K | Beat the odds* |
63.3% 58%–68%
|
384 | +4.7% |
Only wallets with at least 20 settled bets are ranked (971 qualify). "Won" shows the share of bets that paid, with its 95% range underneath. "Skill or luck?" compares wins with the odds each bet was bought at. *About 1 wallet in 40 beats the odds by chance alone, so a "Beat the odds" badge is not proof of skill. "Profit by 2 weeks" shows each two-week period as a bar, green up for profit and red down for loss, scaled to that wallet's biggest period (hover for dates and amounts).