Webbed-Myth
0x6d20c35f65d9899b6d6b74f8466e824580f9a165
Webbed-Myth: +$3.26M on 60 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 43%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$3.26M
return +25.4%
Settled bets
60
$12.8M staked
Won
55.0%
95% range 43%–67%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 45 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3.26M
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28 | SELL Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 14¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | $3.8K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 53¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | $2.2K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 55¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | $5.2K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 56¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | $168K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 55¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | $27K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 55¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | $28K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 55¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | $28K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 56¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | $19K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.