Stable-Armament
0xf5592765133941c40c77e52bc56bbe7ec167f462
Stable-Armament: +$103K on 60 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 41%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$103K
return +10.7%
Settled bets
60
$965K staked
Won
53.3%
95% range 41%–65%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 59 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$19K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$42K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$42K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $30K |
| Oct 6 | BUY G2
@ 60¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $10K |
| Oct 6 | BUY G2
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $5.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA
@ 55¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $10K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 86¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $8.5K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 64¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $25K |
| Oct 5 | BUY MOUZ
@ 67¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | $13K |
| Oct 5 | BUY MOUZ
@ 38¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $20K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.