Tall-Taxicab-Reply

0x676c1bb692c76b57b06f1b93817515acfa5ce139

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Tall-Taxicab-Reply: +$3.3K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 23%–64%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$3.3K
return +2.5%
Settled bets
19
$134K staked
Won
42.1%
95% range 23%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$3.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix @ 59¢
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner $3.1K
Oct 8 BUY Aurora @ 59¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner $30K
Oct 7 BUY CyberHero @ 54¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: MOUZ vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner $1.4K
Oct 7 BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 69¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner $5.4K
Oct 5 BUY FlyQuest @ 50¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner $1.5K
Oct 5 BUY Team Vitality @ 72¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner $7.3K
Oct 4 BUY LYON @ 43¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 4 Winner $4.9K
Oct 4 BUY BNK FEARX @ 68¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner $5.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed