Prickly-Hype
0x5e9458202b5817a72cf81105ec8a30e6f3705ba1
Prickly-Hype: +$271K on 93 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 39%–58%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$271K
return +10.9%
Settled bets
93
$2.50M staked
Won
48.4%
95% range 39%–58%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 93 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$282K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$9.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | BUY Over
@ 52¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 | $7.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Under
@ 52¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 |
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 | $7.9K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Under
@ 54¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 |
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 | $15K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Under
@ 54¢
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 |
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 | $14K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Under
@ 52¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 |
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 | $27K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Over
@ 53¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 |
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 | $1.1K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Under
@ 51¢
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 |
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 | $4.5K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Under
@ 52¢
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 |
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | $8.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.