0xf3ce…a57a

0xf3ce7f04dde4f8c5aed19a20e5ecd8520e5ca57a

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$76K
return +17.9%
Settled bets
78
$425K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 56%–76%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 78 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$34K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$12K Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$30K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 Bought MOUZ at 77¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: MOUZ vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner $1.5K
Oct 7 Bought MOUZ at 71¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: MOUZ vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner $1.1K
Oct 6 Bought LEGION at 64¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner $1.6K
Oct 6 Bought LEGION at 65¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner $1.2K
Oct 6 Bought HULIGANI at 64¢
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner $1.1K
Oct 5 Bought CyberHero at 41¢
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner $2.9K
Oct 3 Bought Team Yandex at 56¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner $1.4K
Oct 3 Bought Team Yandex at 54¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner $8.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed