Unwieldy-Supporter

0x224a89dbe0db0d6124b335edabd15b3f877da3d5

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unwieldy-Supporter: +$84K on 432 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 49%–58%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$84K
return +2.9%
Settled bets
432
$2.94M staked
Won
53.7%
95% range 49%–58%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 432 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$33K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$98K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$48K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 30 BUY Chicago White Sox @ 74¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros $1.8K
Sep 30 BUY Atlanta Braves @ 65¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves $2.6K
Sep 30 BUY Saints @ 53¢
Spread: Saints (-2.5)
Spread: Saints (-2.5) $1.5K
Sep 30 BUY Cardinals @ 49¢
Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-2.5) $1.3K
Sep 30 BUY San Diego Padres @ 76¢
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres $1.8K
Sep 29 BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 38¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves $2.1K
Sep 29 BUY Bears @ 78¢
Eagles vs. Bears
Eagles vs. Bears $1.9K
Sep 29 BUY Bears @ 80¢
Eagles vs. Bears
Eagles vs. Bears $6.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed