Busy-Wolf-Spectacle
0x0f6f76ced62a911bccef92f50faaff143854d977
Profit
+$1.25M
return +28.5%
Settled bets
21
$4.40M staked
Won
52.4%
95% range 32%–72%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$1.38M
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$124K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | Bought No
at 58¢
Will France win on 2026-09-28? |
Will France win on 2026-09-28? | $5.9K |
| Sep 28 | Bought No
at 57¢
Will France win on 2026-09-28? |
Will France win on 2026-09-28? | $94K |
| Sep 28 | Bought Yes
at 32¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? |
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | $6.8K |
| Sep 28 | Bought Yes
at 31¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? |
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | $16K |
| Sep 28 | Bought No
at 56¢
Will France win on 2026-09-28? |
Will France win on 2026-09-28? | $1.9K |
| Sep 19 | Bought No
at 66¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19? | $6.6K |
| Sep 19 | Bought No
at 66¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19? | $6.6K |
| Sep 19 | Bought No
at 66¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19? | $15K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.