Noteworthy-Quill-Shadow
0xb7271c112cbd83eb4c1ef1b554ff963604ae2a9d
Profit
+$492K
return +39.9%
Settled bets
64
$1.23M staked
Won
48.4%
95% range 37%–60%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 58 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$68K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$331K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$228K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
In the live feed
$29K
bought
Appalachian State
at 51¢
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | Bought Yes
at 52¢
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06? | $10K |
| Oct 6 | Bought Yes
at 51¢
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06? | $2.1K |
| Oct 6 | Bought Yes
at 51¢
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06? | $6.4K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Falcons
at 47¢
Falcons vs. Saints |
Falcons vs. Saints | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Falcons
at 47¢
Falcons vs. Saints |
Falcons vs. Saints | $7.9K |
| Oct 3 | Bought South Carolina
at 50¢
Spread: South Carolina (-2.5) |
Spread: South Carolina (-2.5) | $5.0K |
| Oct 3 | Bought Under
at 56¢
O/U 1.5 Rounds |
O/U 1.5 Rounds | $5.0K |
| Oct 2 | Bought Kent State
at 51¢
Spread: Ohio (-3.5) |
Spread: Ohio (-3.5) | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.