0x16bb…8492
0x16bb9951a36fce71e2ef57890b786145e0ba8492
0x16bb…8492: +$134K on 133 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 46%–63%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$134K
return +9.5%
Settled bets
133
$1.41M staked
Won
54.9%
95% range 46%–63%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 133 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$30K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$107K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$58K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 | $5.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Over
@ 47¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 | $2.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Under
@ 53¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 | $6.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Under
@ 53¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 | $31K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Chicago White Sox
@ 42¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | $15K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Rutgers
@ 52¢
Spread: Indiana (-24.5) |
Spread: Indiana (-24.5) | $1.8K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Tulsa
@ 54¢
Spread: North Texas (-3.5) |
Spread: North Texas (-3.5) | $4.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Iowa
@ 52¢
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) |
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.