Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf

0x821dab0565ebf5b327f51db06223fdcfe01acf16

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
−$272K
return −1.9%
Settled bets
3,172
$14.3M staked
Won
71.5%
95% range 70%–73%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3,172 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$29K Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$283K Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$41K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

In the live feed

$7.9K bought Over at 99.9¢

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 Bought Qinwen Zheng at 94¢
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng $1.8K
Oct 7 Bought Qinwen Zheng at 96¢
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng $4.0K
Oct 7 Bought Alina Charaeva at 11¢
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng $2.2K
Oct 7 Bought Laslo Djere at 97¢
Villena: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Laslo Djere
Villena: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Laslo Djere $4.2K
Oct 7 Bought Kamil Majchrzak at 58¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak $1.2K
Oct 7 Bought Iga Swiatek at 92¢
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek $2.2K
Oct 7 Bought Arthur Gea at 98¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria $6.1K
Oct 7 Bought Yunchaokete Bu at 58¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed