Scary-Fannypack

0xa38a455bbdd4b68486548b7e19da99903f4f821d

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗

Scary-Fannypack: +$83K on 123 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 55%–72%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).

Profit
+$83K
return +12.2%
Settled bets
123
$675K staked
Won
64.2%
95% range 55%–72%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 123 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$7.0K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$43K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$118K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Steelers @ 58¢
Colts vs. Steelers
Colts vs. Steelers $5.8K
Oct 11 BUY Steelers @ 58¢
Colts vs. Steelers
Colts vs. Steelers $10K
Oct 11 BUY Boise State @ 75¢
Boise State vs. Fresno State
Boise State vs. Fresno State $1.2K
Oct 11 BUY Kentucky @ 48¢
LSU vs. Kentucky
LSU vs. Kentucky $8.5K
Oct 10 BUY Oklahoma @ 22¢
Texas vs. Oklahoma
Texas vs. Oklahoma $1.4K
Oct 10 BUY Iowa @ 47¢
Iowa vs. Washington
Iowa vs. Washington $5.0K
Oct 10 BUY Iowa @ 47¢
Iowa vs. Washington
Iowa vs. Washington $4.9K
Oct 10 BUY New York Liberty @ 47¢
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed