Tinted-Consciousness
0xfea31bc088000ff909be1dfd8d0e3f2c7ef2d227
Tinted-Consciousness: −$410K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 33%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$410K
return −71.3%
Settled bets
16
$575K staked
Won
56.2%
95% range 33%–77%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$399K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.3K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$12K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team? |
Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team? | $19K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 94¢
Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1? |
Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1? | $2.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Falcons
@ 66¢
Falcons vs. Saints |
Falcons vs. Saints | $4.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5 |
Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5 | $64K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Seahawks
@ 85¢
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) |
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | $3.7K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 88¢
Will Green Bay Packers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? |
Will Green Bay Packers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Giants
@ 58¢
Spread: Cardinals (-3.5) |
Spread: Cardinals (-3.5) | $5.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will Harry Kane win the most Player of the Match awards in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? |
Will Harry Kane win the most Player of the Match awards in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.