Wordy-Littleneck

0x3dfb153c197d4c19d3b31c1ecd2c7b6860eeabaf

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$497K
return +12.7%
Settled bets
311
$3.90M staked
Won
43.7%
95% range 38%–49%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 302 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$294K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$148K Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$55K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 Bought Cleveland Guardians at 48¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox $6.2K
Oct 7 Bought Over at 50¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 $11K
Oct 7 Bought Atlanta Braves at 7¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves $5.0K
Oct 6 Bought Los Angeles Dodgers at 53¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves $3.2K
Oct 6 Bought Under at 52¢
Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 54.5
Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 54.5 $4.9K
Oct 6 Bought Saints at 34¢
Falcons vs. Saints
Falcons vs. Saints $17K
Oct 5 Bought Over at 53¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 $19K
Oct 5 Bought Lions at 27¢
Lions vs. Panthers
Lions vs. Panthers $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed