Hateful-Chord

0x27f738fe203827445690339104aae35b20bc44b0

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗

Hateful-Chord: +$107K on 157 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 61% (95% range 53%–68%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).

Profit
+$107K
return +13.1%
Settled bets
157
$815K staked
Won
61.1%
95% range 53%–68%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 157 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$31K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$69K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$69K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Under @ 61¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 $1.1K
Oct 5 BUY Falcons @ 52¢
Spread: Saints (-1.5)
Spread: Saints (-1.5) $7.9K
Oct 5 BUY Packers @ 43¢
Bears vs. Packers
Bears vs. Packers $1.1K
Oct 5 BUY Packers @ 43¢
Bears vs. Packers
Bears vs. Packers $3.1K
Oct 5 BUY Packers @ 43¢
Bears vs. Packers
Bears vs. Packers $4.0K
Oct 4 BUY Seahawks @ 53¢
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) $2.5K
Oct 4 BUY Raiders @ 32¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Chiefs vs. Raiders $1.9K
Oct 4 BUY Rams @ 60¢
Spread: Rams (-1.5)
Spread: Rams (-1.5) $2.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed