Sparse-Handgun
0x5fdd66ffd0325d4e8d1d86fbec50caa31770a747
Sparse-Handgun: +$22K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 32%–81%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$22K
return +4.6%
Settled bets
12
$475K staked
Won
58.3%
95% range 32%–81%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$22K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY MOUZ
@ 69¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | $74K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Over
@ 62¢
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 |
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | $9.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | $117K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.7K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 65¢
Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-10-08? |
Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-10-08? | $11K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 65¢
Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-10-08? |
Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-10-08? | $4.4K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 64¢
Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-10-08? |
Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-10-08? | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.