0x361b…74fe
0x361b16e3ddfe1d415d41008daac2631d94ab74fe
0x361b…74fe: +$165K on 44 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 66%–89%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$165K
return +11.3%
Settled bets
44
$1.47M staked
Won
79.5%
95% range 66%–89%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 44 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$62K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$107K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 94¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 |
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 | $4.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 93¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 |
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 94¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 |
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 | $2.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 80¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 |
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | $2.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 81¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 |
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | $3.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 93¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 |
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 | $7.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 80¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 |
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | $2.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 79¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 |
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | $5.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.