Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
0x1610db79f753a80207e1d66716be9e91e627ae49
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement: +$196K on 405 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 37%–47%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$196K
return +4.4%
Settled bets
405
$4.47M staked
Won
41.7%
95% range 37%–47%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 361 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$34K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$226K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$4.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Chicago White Sox
@ 53¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | $4.9K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Milwaukee Brewers
@ 31¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | $1.7K |
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA
@ 50¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA
@ 56¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA
@ 54¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 74¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 71¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 45¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $5.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.