Scaly-Insurrection

0xd570e634aeb745d6501566dba5f81a555cc7e4f8

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$241K
return +39.8%
Settled bets
31
$605K staked
Won
64.5%
95% range 47%–79%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 31 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$241K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 2 Bought Nemiga at 39¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs $1.6K
Sep 2 Bought Nemiga at 38¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs $1.1K
Sep 2 Bought Nuclear TigeRES at 43¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs $17K
Sep 2 Bought T1 at 47¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $1.1K
Sep 2 Bought T1 at 48¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $7.3K
Sep 2 Bought T1 at 50¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $9.9K
Sep 2 Bought T1 at 50¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $1.5K
Sep 2 Bought Nemiga at 36¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs $1.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed