Menacing-Advance-Hacienda

0x73e3fec494611d73c170cb2f23850fd998b21be9

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$129K
return +47.9%
Settled bets
31
$270K staked
Won
74.2%
95% range 57%–86%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 30 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$80K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$50K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 12 Bought M80 at 59¢
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs M80 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs M80 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs $5.1K
Sep 12 Bought Legacy at 87¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs $2.6K
Sep 11 Bought G2 at 45¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs $16K
Sep 11 Bought MIBR at 53¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner $5.9K
Sep 11 Bought 1WIN at 52¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs $3.9K
Sep 10 Bought magic at 44¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B $1.5K
Sep 9 Bought 1WIN at 71¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Infinite (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Infinite (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D $7.3K
Sep 9 Bought TYLOO at 82¢
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B $25K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed