Baggy-Illustration
0xc0e4f49b80a2162aa8c1c1ad1bd0867574e3dd38
Baggy-Illustration: +$92K on 167 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 59% (95% range 51%–66%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$92K
return +14.9%
Settled bets
167
$622K staked
Won
58.7%
95% range 51%–66%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 121 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$47K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$45K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | SELL LYON
@ 90¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Canucks
@ 29¢
Flames vs. Canucks |
Flames vs. Canucks | $4.7K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Avalanche
@ 89¢
Blues vs. Avalanche |
Blues vs. Avalanche | $6.4K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 75¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 40¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | $3.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Chicago White Sox
@ 50¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | $6.9K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Ducks
@ 83¢
Ducks vs. Golden Knights |
Ducks vs. Golden Knights | $10K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Ducks
@ 72¢
Ducks vs. Golden Knights |
Ducks vs. Golden Knights | $12K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.