Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
25 whales traded $91K on this market since Sep 4, 65% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 2.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
In the live feed
Polymarket whale bets
BUY
$10K
bought Yes
@ 21¢ → now 22¢ (+$290)
Silky-Geometry
·
309 settled bets · +$12K
Can't tell from luck
BUY
$8.7K
bought Yes
@ 21¢ → now 22¢ (+$281)
Sophisticated-Gadget
·
1 settled bets · +$5.7K
Too few bets
The whales on this market
25 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harsh-Macro
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 74¢ | $12K | — |
| Grubby-Mall
7 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 83¢ | $11K | — |
| 0x9ad5…1811
no settled record |
No @ 79¢ | $9.3K | — |
| Sophisticated-Gadget
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 21¢ | $8.7K | — |
| 0xe1e7…12fe
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 83¢ | $5.5K | — |
| Similar-Format
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 22¢ | $1.5K | $3.0K |
| 0xb40e…7cc9
no settled record |
No @ 79¢ | $4.2K | — |
| Knowing-Kit
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 19¢ | $3.8K | — |
| Hasty-Dog-Climate
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 20¢ | $3.4K | — |
| Fake-Bitter
1,564 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 45¢ | $2.9K | — |
| Attached-Pump
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 16¢ | $2.8K | — |
| Careful-Bunch
129 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 76¢ | $2.7K | — |
| Advanced-Mailer
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 71¢ | $2.4K | — |
| Velvety-Burn
148 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 81¢ | $2.3K | — |
| Similar-Balloonist
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 23¢ | $1.9K | — |
| 0x8a67…8494
no settled record |
Yes @ 18¢ | $1.6K | — |
| Impressive-Musicmaking
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 81¢ | $1.6K | — |
| Giving-Tick-Innervation
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 79¢ | $1.5K | — |
| Nautical-Placement
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K |
| 0xdf0e…c02b
no settled record |
No @ 74¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Grumpy-Urn
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 16¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0x7ad3…2e30
no settled record |
No @ 81¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Wiry-Altitude-Deformation
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 79¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Violet-Handball
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 35¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Forked-Standardization
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 22¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$56K65% of whale buying · 13 buyers
-
Yes$30K35% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $4.3K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 4 to Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793257219).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $1.25M | 119 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $727K | 77 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | $297K | 26 | Open | |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $251K | 33 | Open | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | $215K | 40 | Open | |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | $87K | 26 | Open | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | $54K | 17 | Open | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $209K | 40 | Open |