Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
22 whales traded $56K on this market since Sep 19, 71% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 82% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
In the live feed
Polymarket whale betsThe whales on this market
22 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whimsical-Terminal
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 43¢ | $11K | — |
| 0x498d…ddd4
no settled record |
No @ 60¢ | $6.0K | — |
| Hideous-Racer
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $5.2K |
| 0xa53c…629e
no settled record |
Yes @ 21¢ | $2.0K | $2.2K |
| 0x375f…bfe7
no settled record |
Yes @ 39¢ | $2.9K | — |
| 0x207a…2de9
no settled record |
Yes @ 41¢ | $2.9K | — |
| Careful-Bunch
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 80¢ | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| 0x6352…f719
no settled record |
Yes @ 29¢ | $2.4K | — |
| 0xfbc2…e30e
no settled record |
Yes @ 43¢ | $2.3K | — |
| 0xa5dc…f14d
no settled record |
Yes @ 38¢ | $1.7K | — |
| Vacant-Editing
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K |
| Harsh-Macro
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 68¢ | $1.6K | — |
| 0x5f87…1d10
no settled record |
Yes @ 37¢ | $1.6K | — |
| 0x9a64…5af4
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
| 0x62ce…a516
no settled record |
Yes @ 36¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Uniform-Botany
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 86¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0x29d2…6429
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
| 0x288b…c05b
no settled record |
No @ 65¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Required-Tactics
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
| 0x6340…ffcd
no settled record |
Yes @ 42¢ | $1.0K | — |
| 0x1a64…30bb
no settled record |
Yes @ 30¢ | $1.0K | — |
| 0xe980…a8e3
no settled record |
Yes @ 21¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$30K71% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $6.2K sold
-
No$11K27% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $7.5K sold
-
Yes$1.0K2% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 19 to Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792652408).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $451K | 51 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $240K | 29 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $551K | 77 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $180K | 33 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.16M | 96 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | $220K | 27 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $427K | 51 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $59K | 8 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?