Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $54K on this market since Aug 30, 72% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9e05…e30e
no settled record |
Yes @ 67¢ | $6.3K | — |
| 0x9f16…a28f
no settled record |
No @ 26¢ | $5.9K | — |
| Kaleidoscopic-Camp
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 81¢ | $5.7K | — |
| 0x47dd…55d5
no settled record |
Yes @ 67¢ | $5.4K | — |
| Grounded-Depression
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 63¢ | $5.0K | — |
| 0x5e52…b207
no settled record |
Yes @ 67¢ | $4.1K | — |
| 0x6340…ffcd
no settled record |
No @ 41¢ | $3.4K | — |
| 0xa927…45cc
no settled record |
Yes @ 63¢ | $3.2K | — |
| 0xe5eb…2ffa
no settled record |
No @ 38¢ | $3.0K | — |
| 0x98a1…61b6
no settled record |
Yes @ 64¢ | $3.0K | — |
| Fearful-Congress
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K |
| Hideous-Racer
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Close-Circadian
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 81¢ | $1.3K | — |
| 0x1d39…4fbd
no settled record |
No @ 34¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Required-Tactics
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 28¢ | $1.1K | — |
| 0x3397…f5dc
no settled record |
Yes @ 81¢ | $1.0K | — |
| 0x4736…8a3e
no settled record |
Yes @ 69¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$37K72% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $1.8K sold
-
No$15K28% of whale buying · 5 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 30 to Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793257219).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | $87K | 26 | Open | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $209K | 40 | Open | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | $152K | 14 | Open | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | $215K | 40 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $339K | 57 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | $91K | 25 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $1.25M | 119 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $727K | 77 | Open |