Similar-Format
0x30e443872ddf63b2908a49f92cd690c304a55102
Similar-Format: +$20K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$20K
return +237.5%
Settled bets
5
$8.4K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$24K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Yes
@ 91¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | $4.6K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Yes
@ 36¢
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? |
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | $9.3K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 22¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | $1.5K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 38¢
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? |
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | $1.4K |
| Sep 30 | SELL Yes
@ 58¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $3.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 33¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.1K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Yes
@ 90¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $1.1K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Yes
@ 63¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $3.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.