Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $139K into this market since Aug 26, 99% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Sociable-Product
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 69¢ $97K $11K
Frozen-Birdwatcher
79 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $13K
Fatherly-Stamen
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 58¢ $5.4K —
Altruistic-Gambling
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 54¢ $1.1K $3.0K
0x37a6…6684
no settled record
Yes @ 73¢ $3.4K —
Inferior-Simplification
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K
Cute-Farmland
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 61¢ $1.6K —
Advanced-Mailer
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 74¢ $1.3K —
Crisp-Scarf
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 64¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $110K
    99% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $11K sold
  2. No
    $1.1K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $17K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26 to Oct 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed