Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
29 whales traded $141K on this market since Sep 30, 74% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 2.7¢ more per share, with 69% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
In the live feed
Polymarket whale betsThe whales on this market
biggest 25 of 29| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skinny-Diving
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $19K |
| Simple-Tradition
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 87¢ | $4.6K | $12K |
| 0xdbf7…fbea
no settled record |
No @ 95¢ | $2.6K | $14K |
| Careful-Bunch
117 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 90¢ | $9.6K | $1.5K |
| 0xf08d…0811
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 92¢ | $1.0K | $7.4K |
| 0x73a0…bed9
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $7.5K |
| Pointless-Measure
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $6.1K |
| Jaded-Comb-Club
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 11¢ | $5.9K | — |
| 0x389d…5866
no settled record |
Yes @ 15¢ | $5.0K | — |
| Determined-Valuable
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 92¢ | $4.6K | — |
| Grounded-Depression
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.8K |
| Unripe-Whisker
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 93¢ | $3.7K | — |
| Gaseous-Visit-Duckling
10 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 90¢ | $1.3K | $2.0K |
| Smooth-Evolution
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 95¢ | $3.0K | — |
| Peppery-Capital
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $2.9K | — |
| Verifiable-Obstacle
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 88¢ | $2.7K | — |
| Harsh-Macro
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 97¢ | $2.5K | — |
| Valid-Underground
17 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 24¢ | $2.5K | — |
| Broken-Dogwood
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K |
| Hilarious-Fishery
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 96¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Barren-Overcoat
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor
14 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K |
| 0x04b9…79e0
no settled record |
No @ 95¢ | $1.5K | — |
| 0x7efe…b3f2
no settled record |
Yes @ 12¢ | $1.5K | — |
| 0x7ef1…7faa
no settled record |
Yes @ 9¢ | $1.4K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$45K74% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $75K sold
-
Yes$16K26% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
No$00% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $3.9K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30 to Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.50M | 112 | Open | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $801K | 115 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $631K | 32 | Open | |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $78K | 20 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $3.17M | 217 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $965K | 104 | Open | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | $78K | 22 | Open | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | $93K | 15 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?