Violet-Handball
Skill vs luck
Violet-Handball on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit +$3.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Violet-Handball: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x81525952f172646a4104030e9a9ef1e769c7bfda. Data CC BY 4.0.
Violet-Handball: +$3.2K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$2.3K
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- +$5.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | SELL No @ 54¢ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $1.9K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Yes @ 69¢ | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 14 | SELL No @ 95¢ | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? ↗ | $1.4K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes @ 62¢ | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes @ 65¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Yes @ 11¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Yes @ 11¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes @ 64¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.