Grubby-Mall

0xa309f903dbbd559e87d8d368834b8e41355c4cf2

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Grubby-Mall: −$6.9K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$6.9K
return −28.2%
Settled bets
5
$24K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$5.1K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$12K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Vikings @ 95¢
Spread: Dolphins (-10.5)
Spread: Dolphins (-10.5) $6.7K
Oct 4 BUY Bills @ 74¢
Patriots vs. Bills
Patriots vs. Bills $8.9K
Sep 24 BUY Packers @ 69¢
Falcons vs. Packers
Falcons vs. Packers $3.5K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 55¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? $3.9K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 50¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? $12K
Sep 3 BUY Yes @ 45¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? $2.2K
Sep 1 BUY Yes @ 58¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? $3.3K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed