Nautical-Placement

0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Nautical-Placement: +$8.1K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$8.1K
return +162.6%
Settled bets
1
$5.0K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$8.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 SELL Yes @ 83¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? $11K
Oct 9 SELL Yes @ 84¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? $8.4K
Oct 8 BUY Yes @ 64¢
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? $4.0K
Oct 8 SELL Yes @ 83¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? $3.7K
Oct 8 BUY Yes @ 84¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? $4.2K
Oct 4 SELL No @ 96¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? $2.2K
Oct 4 BUY Yes @ 74¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? $3.1K
Oct 3 SELL Yes @ 21¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed