Giving-Tick-Innervation
Skill vs luck
Giving-Tick-Innervation on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit −$2.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Giving-Tick-Innervation: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc1b5f266564e6d4907cf84bdf5a8f91621ef5d85. Data CC BY 4.0.
Giving-Tick-Innervation: −$2.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- −$2.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY No
@ 39¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | $1.6K |
| Oct 29 | BUY No @ 73¢ | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 29 | BUY No @ 98¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 28 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat? |
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat? | $1.1K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 79¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 98¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 99.7¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 25 | BUY No @ 29¢ | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.