Quixotic-Brow
0xe7870d0e1bfc65a23e3d66caf00ca1b9129e5034
Quixotic-Brow: +$34K on 96 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 33%–53%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$34K
return +8.9%
Settled bets
96
$382K staked
Won
42.7%
95% range 33%–53%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 77 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$5.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$16K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$23K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL Daria Kasatkina
@ 99.9¢
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Viktorija Golubic |
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Viktorija Golubic | $9.4K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Daria Kasatkina
@ 16¢
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Viktorija Golubic |
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Viktorija Golubic | $1.5K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Jan-Lennard Struff
@ 15¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | $2.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $4.6K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Alexander Bublik
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | $15K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Tomas Machac
@ 34¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | $3.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Karen Khachanov
@ 20¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.