Massive-Refusal
0x56c2da8c8187b9ee09f6d6d4051e6ce8391417bf
Massive-Refusal: −$4.3K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$4.3K
return −113.0%
Settled bets
4
$3.8K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$2.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Sharks
@ 41¢
Oilers vs. Sharks |
Oilers vs. Sharks | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 93¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Aurora
@ 55¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | SELL FURIA
@ 44¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $1.6K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.