Weekly-Service
0xe548376f231af12b4d56aff55a7503a88892a9fe
Weekly-Service: −$51K on 27 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 30% (95% range 16%–49%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$51K
return −37.6%
Settled bets
27
$135K staked
Won
29.6%
95% range 16%–49%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 24 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$14K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$20K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$17K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 34¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $4.3K |
| Oct 8 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $4.4K |
| Oct 8 | SELL FlyQuest
@ 99.9¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Falcons
@ 49¢
Falcons vs. Saints |
Falcons vs. Saints | $4.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Lions
@ 53¢
Spread: Lions (-3.5) |
Spread: Lions (-3.5) | $5.3K |
| Oct 2 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 64¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $4.1K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Solary
@ 61¢
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner | $7.7K |
| Sep 30 | BUY DN SOOPers Challengers
@ 30¢
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs |
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs | $6.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.