Colossal-Cinnamon

0x61fefe72aebe7afc69d190bacfad8b561dc70956

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Colossal-Cinnamon: +$47 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 68%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$47
return +0.1%
Settled bets
8
$42K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 68%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$38
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$9
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Vitality @ 99.81¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $11K
Oct 9 BUY Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner $6.9K
Oct 9 BUY T1 @ 98¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs $1.8K
Oct 9 BUY Paper Rex @ 99.9¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner $2.0K
Oct 7 BUY LOUD @ 98¢
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner $4.1K
Oct 6 BUY Natus Vincere @ 99¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner $1.9K
Oct 6 BUY Team Falcons @ 99.86¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner $2.6K
Sep 5 BUY Spirit @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner $8.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed