Finished-Hail-Hill
Skill vs luck
Finished-Hail-Hill on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$850. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Finished-Hail-Hill: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0b5e2874b65238b1f1d331e7c91aab4ae3af9367. Data CC BY 4.0.
Finished-Hail-Hill: +$850 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$850
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY LOS @ 39¢ | LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $3.9K |
| Oct 25 | BUY G2 Esports @ 53¢ | LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $5.3K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?