Tart-Rocket

0xf61a809a241c7e3ca8d83d454a90e1ce20f85943

Skill vs luck

Tart-Rocket on Polymarket: 12 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 14%–61%) · profit −$3.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Tart-Rocket: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf61a809a241c7e3ca8d83d454a90e1ce20f85943. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Tart-Rocket: −$3.9K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 14%–61%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

−$3.9K

return −23.7%

Settled bets

$16K staked

Won

33.3%

95% range 14%–61%

Mostly bets on

esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Sep 17 – Oct 1: −$1
Oct 16 – Oct 30: −$3.9K

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +3.5% (2,471 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 29	SELL TYLOO @ 99.9¢ Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Iberian Soul - Map 2 Winner	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Iberian Soul - Map 2 Winner	$1.0K
Oct 29	BUY fnatic @ 90¢ Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner	$1.9K
Oct 29	BUY Astralis @ 59¢ Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner	$2.0K
Oct 29	SELL GamerLegion @ 92¢ Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	$1.4K
Oct 28	BUY LYON @ 41¢ LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage ↗	$5.1K
Oct 28	SELL Invictus Gaming @ 61¢ LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner ↗	$4.3K
Oct 28	BUY Invictus Gaming @ 60¢ LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner ↗	$4.2K
Oct 28	BUY B8 @ 67¢ Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner	Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner	$1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed