Terrible-Pantry

0x91c572a0d13c02136efb9252cc3b49408557c7bb

Skill vs luck

Terrible-Pantry on Polymarket: 11 settled bets · won 82% (95% range 52%–95%) · profit +$4.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Terrible-Pantry: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x91c572a0d13c02136efb9252cc3b49408557c7bb. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Terrible-Pantry: +$4.2K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 82% (95% range 52%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

+$4.2K

return +16.9%

Settled bets

$25K staked

Won

81.8%

95% range 52%–95%

Mostly bets on

other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Sep 19 – Oct 4: +$800
Oct 4 – Oct 19: +$842
Oct 19 – Nov 3: +$2.5K

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +0.2% (2,674 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Nov 2	BUY Aurora Gaming @ 61¢ Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	$1.1K
Nov 2	BUY Natus Vincere @ 90¢ Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A ↗	$4.3K
Nov 2	BUY Team Falcons @ 68¢ Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner ↗	$2.4K
Nov 2	SELL Team Falcons @ 73¢ Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner ↗	$4.9K
Nov 2	BUY Natus Vincere @ 97¢ Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	$2.0K
Nov 2	BUY Natus Vincere @ 93¢ Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	$2.0K
Nov 2	SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢ Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A ↗	$8.2K
Nov 2	BUY FURIA @ 70¢ Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A ↗	$3.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed