Itchy-Caterpillar
0xdd882a70680633a75516f6ed5fce443e2d96dadb
Itchy-Caterpillar: −$28K on 139 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 47%–63%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$28K
return −4.8%
Settled bets
139
$579K staked
Won
55.4%
95% range 47%–63%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 129 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$41K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$7.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$6.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Vitality
@ 77¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Over
@ 51¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5 |
Games Total: O/U 2.5 | $1.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $4.3K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 60¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | $2.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY FURIA
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $4.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 97¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $4.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 83¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $8.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.