Runny-Wait-Gynaecology

0x994ec8e910b433265f3a46eaf666bfa28b1a6136

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$38K
return +11.5%
Settled bets
63
$330K staked
Won
61.9%
95% range 50%–73%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 55 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$18K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$41K Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$21K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

In the live feed

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 Bought Vitality at 64¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $10K
Oct 5 Bought Spirit at 65¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $5.5K
Oct 5 Bought Natus Vincere at 72¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $8.9K
Oct 5 Bought Vitality at 63¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.6K
Oct 5 Bought FURIA at 67¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $13K
Oct 5 Bought Natus Vincere at 71¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $5.4K
Oct 4 Bought Nemiga at 51¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $10K
Oct 4 Bought Aurora Gaming at 41¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $8.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed