Used-Moose

0x462d515e957253d2fa79a1f808e6e99eb2eece9b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Used-Moose: +$6.3K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$6.3K
return +71.2%
Settled bets
6
$8.8K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$3
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$6.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Nongshim RedForce @ 29¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs $1.3K
Oct 9 BUY Nongshim RedForce @ 44¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner $2.6K
Oct 9 BUY Nongshim RedForce @ 41¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner $1.2K
Oct 9 SELL 100 Thieves @ 99.9¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner $6.2K
Oct 9 SELL Sangal @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs $2.9K
Oct 9 BUY Sangal @ 69¢
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs $2.0K
Oct 8 BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 52¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox $1.8K
Oct 8 BUY @ 33¢
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox $1.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed