Hollow-Maggot-Sense

0x076daa87c4fe1a85402a9b6b8e0a866224388d4c

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗

Hollow-Maggot-Sense: +$90K on 951 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 53%–60%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).

Profit
+$90K
return +1.9%
Settled bets
951
$4.63M staked
Won
56.4%
95% range 53%–60%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 951 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$79K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$147K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$21K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Yunchaokete Bu @ 52¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud $1.8K
Oct 10 BUY Nuno Borges @ 33¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges $1.9K
Oct 10 BUY Daria Zhelezniakova @ 45¢
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) $2.0K
Oct 10 BUY AS Saint-Étienne @ 49¢
Spread: AS Saint-Étienne (-1.5)
Spread: AS Saint-Étienne (-1.5) $1.6K
Oct 9 BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 73¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot $2.8K
Oct 9 BUY Over @ 56¢
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 $2.0K
Oct 9 BUY Oilers @ 59¢
Oilers vs. Sharks
Oilers vs. Sharks $1.8K
Oct 9 BUY No @ 54¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? $13K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed