Blue-Surge-Pause
Skill vs luck
Blue-Surge-Pause on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 15%–85%) · profit +$10K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Blue-Surge-Pause: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x684e0147533a9f8250dd9e79d3ac289ee2cc0d42. Data CC BY 4.0.
Blue-Surge-Pause: +$10K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- +$10K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Team Falcons @ 35¢ | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A ↗ | $11K |
| Nov 2 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | $12K |
| Nov 2 | SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A ↗ | $36K |
| Nov 2 | BUY FURIA @ 62¢ | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A ↗ | $5.3K |
| Nov 2 | BUY FURIA @ 66¢ | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A ↗ | $18K |
| Nov 2 | SELL BetBoom Team @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B ↗ | $24K |
| Nov 2 | BUY BetBoom Team @ 62¢ | Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B ↗ | $15K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.